But that is the same as predicting the loser. Except we never thought of it that way. If one can figure out what makes teams lose, what makes them collapse, fall apart, and have struggles and internal tension, one can just as easily figure out the winners.
Its a cognitive bias.
I've always focused on the winner of game; what one has to do to win and then trying to figure out how to identifiy which team has more of those traits.
But identifying teams that have collapsed, don't give a shit, aren't trying to win, etc., and doing it faster than everyone else, can lead to major gains and plays.