Thursday, January 1, 2009

Thoughts on the Rose Bowl pregame

I think this is a classic case of cognitive biases coming together to make me think that USC and Penn State is a mismatch.

The statistics for each team are very similar.
USC's offense coordinator has been hired by Washington to be head coach but is still going to call the game.
Penn State has really packed the stadium with their fans.
Penn State has a bunch of seniors on the team who want to win.
USC is mostly underclassmen.
I doubt USC is that pumped up for the game.
10 points is a big spread.

So to conclude I'd have to say that I think Penn State has a great chance of covering.

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